Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London's 19 August maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–24 °C outcomes. Variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and modest urban heat-island effects limit afternoon solar heating while preventing stronger warm-air advection. Official guidance cites a 24 °C peak under broken cloud, with sea-breeze moisture or earlier overcast potentially capping readings at 23 °C. This range sits modestly above late-August climatology of 21–22 °C following earlier heat spikes, and model consensus leaves limited room for 26 °C or higher. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日伦敦气温最高？
8月19日伦敦气温最高？
24°C 38%
25°C 24%
23°C 22%
22°C 12%
$65,487 交易量
$65,487 交易量
2026-08-19
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
22%
24°C
38%
25°C
24%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
25°C 24%
23°C 22%
22°C 12%
$65,487 交易量
$65,487 交易量
2026-08-19
20°C or below
$14,557 交易量
<1%
21°C
$7,390 交易量
3%
22°C
$5,105 交易量
12%
23°C
$9,324 交易量
22%
24°C
$6,672 交易量
38%
25°C
$10,174 交易量
24%
26°C
$5,027 交易量
7%
27°C
$3,547 交易量
<1%
28°C
$615 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,726 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,350 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London's 19 August maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–24 °C outcomes. Variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and modest urban heat-island effects limit afternoon solar heating while preventing stronger warm-air advection. Official guidance cites a 24 °C peak under broken cloud, with sea-breeze moisture or earlier overcast potentially capping readings at 23 °C. This range sits modestly above late-August climatology of 21–22 °C following earlier heat spikes, and model consensus leaves limited room for 26 °C or higher. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$65,487结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London's 19 August maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–24 °C outcomes. Variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and modest urban heat-island effects limit afternoon solar heating while preventing stronger warm-air advection. Official guidance cites a 24 °C peak under broken cloud, with sea-breeze moisture or earlier overcast potentially capping readings at 23 °C. This range sits modestly above late-August climatology of 21–22 °C following earlier heat spikes, and model consensus leaves limited room for 26 °C or higher. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65,487结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London's 19 August maximum near 23–25 °C, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–24 °C outcomes. Variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and modest urban heat-island effects limit afternoon solar heating while preventing stronger warm-air advection. Official guidance cites a 24 °C peak under broken cloud, with sea-breeze moisture or earlier overcast potentially capping readings at 23 °C. This range sits modestly above late-August climatology of 21–22 °C following earlier heat spikes, and model consensus leaves limited room for 26 °C or higher. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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