Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 21 as the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions favor convective rainfall that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing highs near 30 °C amid heavy rain potential. Historical August baselines average 32 °C, but the current pattern of moisture advection and reduced insolation shifts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range. Traders weigh these short-term variables against the narrow forecast window, as any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could push the peak higher or keep it suppressed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日深圳气温最高？
8月21日深圳气温最高？
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 16%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
25%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 16%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
$127 交易量
<1%
26°C
$405 交易量
1%
27°C
$151 交易量
2%
28°C
$60 交易量
6%
29°C
$39 交易量
13%
30°C
$241 交易量
25%
31°C
$80 交易量
29%
32°C
$44 交易量
16%
33°C
$322 交易量
8%
34°C
$273 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$237 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 21 as the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions favor convective rainfall that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing highs near 30 °C amid heavy rain potential. Historical August baselines average 32 °C, but the current pattern of moisture advection and reduced insolation shifts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range. Traders weigh these short-term variables against the narrow forecast window, as any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could push the peak higher or keep it suppressed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,979结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 21 as the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions favor convective rainfall that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing highs near 30 °C amid heavy rain potential. Historical August baselines average 32 °C, but the current pattern of moisture advection and reduced insolation shifts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range. Traders weigh these short-term variables against the narrow forecast window, as any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could push the peak higher or keep it suppressed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,979结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms on August 21 as the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions favor convective rainfall that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing highs near 30 °C amid heavy rain potential. Historical August baselines average 32 °C, but the current pattern of moisture advection and reduced insolation shifts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range. Traders weigh these short-term variables against the narrow forecast window, as any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could push the peak higher or keep it suppressed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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