Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日台北气温最高？
8月21日台北气温最高？
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
17%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
28°C or below
$216 交易量
<1%
29°C
$187 交易量
1%
30°C
$722 交易量
3%
31°C
$69 交易量
6%
32°C
$196 交易量
17%
33°C
$332 交易量
38%
34°C
$117 交易量
27%
35°C
$64 交易量
14%
36°C
$159 交易量
3%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$54 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,115结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,115结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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