**Recent forecast models for Buenos Aires indicate a daytime high near 15–17°C on August 19, 2026, driven by moderating Atlantic and Río de la Plata influences during Southern Hemisphere winter.** Persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds following a recent cold front limit strong warming, while modest northerly flow prevents deeper cooling. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C at 23.5%, reflecting tight model consensus around seasonal averages of 15–18°C. Historical data show similar mid-August maxima typically fall in this range absent unusual advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Upcoming NHC/NOAA-style regional model runs and SMN updates will refine boundary-layer mixing and any late-day warming, directly impacting resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 12%
18°C 6%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
12%
16°C
50%
17°C
24%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 12%
18°C 6%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
12%
16°C
50%
17°C
24%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent forecast models for Buenos Aires indicate a daytime high near 15–17°C on August 19, 2026, driven by moderating Atlantic and Río de la Plata influences during Southern Hemisphere winter.** Persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds following a recent cold front limit strong warming, while modest northerly flow prevents deeper cooling. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C at 23.5%, reflecting tight model consensus around seasonal averages of 15–18°C. Historical data show similar mid-August maxima typically fall in this range absent unusual advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Upcoming NHC/NOAA-style regional model runs and SMN updates will refine boundary-layer mixing and any late-day warming, directly impacting resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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