Current forecast models from agencies tracking Mexico City's subtropical highland conditions point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 19, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates extremes and typical mid-August convective cloud cover with afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C peak on August 16 under partly clearer skies, illustrate how reduced rainfall can push readings higher while persistent moisture and the North American monsoon influence keep most days capped below 28°C. Trader consensus around these thresholds reflects historical climatology showing average August highs of 24–25°C, with limited upside potential absent unusual subsidence or drier steering patterns. Updated model runs and official station data expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities tied to precise maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月19日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 49%
27°C 24%
25°C 20%
24°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
49%
27°C
24%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 24%
25°C 20%
24°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
$154 交易量
<1%
23°C
$461 交易量
3%
24°C
$256 交易量
6%
25°C
$569 交易量
20%
26°C
$342 交易量
49%
27°C
$221 交易量
24%
28°C
$218 交易量
5%
29°C
$182 交易量
1%
30°C
$154 交易量
1%
31°C
$39 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking Mexico City's subtropical highland conditions point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 19, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates extremes and typical mid-August convective cloud cover with afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C peak on August 16 under partly clearer skies, illustrate how reduced rainfall can push readings higher while persistent moisture and the North American monsoon influence keep most days capped below 28°C. Trader consensus around these thresholds reflects historical climatology showing average August highs of 24–25°C, with limited upside potential absent unusual subsidence or drier steering patterns. Updated model runs and official station data expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities tied to precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,635结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking Mexico City's subtropical highland conditions point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 19, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates extremes and typical mid-August convective cloud cover with afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C peak on August 16 under partly clearer skies, illustrate how reduced rainfall can push readings higher while persistent moisture and the North American monsoon influence keep most days capped below 28°C. Trader consensus around these thresholds reflects historical climatology showing average August highs of 24–25°C, with limited upside potential absent unusual subsidence or drier steering patterns. Updated model runs and official station data expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities tied to precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,635结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies tracking Mexico City's subtropical highland conditions point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 19, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates extremes and typical mid-August convective cloud cover with afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C peak on August 16 under partly clearer skies, illustrate how reduced rainfall can push readings higher while persistent moisture and the North American monsoon influence keep most days capped below 28°C. Trader consensus around these thresholds reflects historical climatology showing average August highs of 24–25°C, with limited upside potential absent unusual subsidence or drier steering patterns. Updated model runs and official station data expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities tied to precise maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题