National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 86°F in New York City on August 18 under mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds, establishing the 86-87°F bin as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cooler readings near 80°F and exceeds the 1991-2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Sea-breeze moderation and any late-day cloud development remain key variables that could cap readings in the mid-80s, while traders monitor the next NWS update and higher-resolution runs for confirmation ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月18日的最高温度？
纽约市8月18日的最高温度？
86-87°F 56%
88-89°F 18%
84-85°F 15%
92-93°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
56%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
8%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 56%
88-89°F 18%
84-85°F 15%
92-93°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
75°F or below
$5 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$5 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$1 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
7%
84-85°F
$132 交易量
15%
86-87°F
$73 交易量
56%
88-89°F
$46 交易量
18%
90-91°F
$91 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$5 交易量
8%
94°F or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 86°F in New York City on August 18 under mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds, establishing the 86-87°F bin as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cooler readings near 80°F and exceeds the 1991-2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Sea-breeze moderation and any late-day cloud development remain key variables that could cap readings in the mid-80s, while traders monitor the next NWS update and higher-resolution runs for confirmation ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$368结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 86°F in New York City on August 18 under mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds, establishing the 86-87°F bin as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cooler readings near 80°F and exceeds the 1991-2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Sea-breeze moderation and any late-day cloud development remain key variables that could cap readings in the mid-80s, while traders monitor the next NWS update and higher-resolution runs for confirmation ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$368结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts project a high near 86°F in New York City on August 18 under mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds, establishing the 86-87°F bin as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cooler readings near 80°F and exceeds the 1991-2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Sea-breeze moderation and any late-day cloud development remain key variables that could cap readings in the mid-80s, while traders monitor the next NWS update and higher-resolution runs for confirmation ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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