Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 daily maximum reflects National Weather Service forecast guidance showing moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer capping temperatures near seasonal norms. Coastal upwelling and the city’s proximity to the cold Pacific keep afternoon highs well below inland values, while subtle variations in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches the low or mid-70s. Ensemble model spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in the 500-hPa ridge and low-level moisture. Updated NWS short-range guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 72–73°F bin or stay cooler.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日旧金山气温最高？
8月18日旧金山气温最高？
72-73华氏度 34%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
67°F或以下
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
28%
72-73华氏度
34%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
72-73华氏度 34%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
67°F或以下
$314 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$197 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$1,230 交易量
28%
72-73华氏度
$221 交易量
34%
74-75°F
$313 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$904 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$637 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$372 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$165 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$267 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 daily maximum reflects National Weather Service forecast guidance showing moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer capping temperatures near seasonal norms. Coastal upwelling and the city’s proximity to the cold Pacific keep afternoon highs well below inland values, while subtle variations in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches the low or mid-70s. Ensemble model spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in the 500-hPa ridge and low-level moisture. Updated NWS short-range guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 72–73°F bin or stay cooler.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$4,731结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 daily maximum reflects National Weather Service forecast guidance showing moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer capping temperatures near seasonal norms. Coastal upwelling and the city’s proximity to the cold Pacific keep afternoon highs well below inland values, while subtle variations in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches the low or mid-70s. Ensemble model spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in the 500-hPa ridge and low-level moisture. Updated NWS short-range guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 72–73°F bin or stay cooler.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,731结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETTrader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 18 daily maximum reflects National Weather Service forecast guidance showing moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer capping temperatures near seasonal norms. Coastal upwelling and the city’s proximity to the cold Pacific keep afternoon highs well below inland values, while subtle variations in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches the low or mid-70s. Ensemble model spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in the 500-hPa ridge and low-level moisture. Updated NWS short-range guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 72–73°F bin or stay cooler.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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