Persistent monsoon rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers moderating Lucknow's maximum temperature outlook for August 17. Official IMD guidance highlights isolated heavy to very heavy showers, which reduce solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and sustain high humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Recent observations show 70+ mm of rain in the area, consistent with active monsoon conditions that typically suppress highs below the seasonal average of ~32°C. Market-implied odds clustered around 29–31°C reflect model consensus on widespread overcast skies and precipitation timing, with slight edges to 30°C versus 29°C hinging on localized variations in storm intensity and wind patterns. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
30°C 29%
29°C 28%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
28%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
29°C 28%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
24°C or below
$18 交易量
<1%
25°C
$151 交易量
1%
26°C
$77 交易量
3%
27°C
$217 交易量
7%
28°C
$174 交易量
15%
29°C
$309 交易量
28%
30°C
$20 交易量
29%
31°C
$315 交易量
16%
32°C
$216 交易量
6%
33°C
$36 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$35 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers moderating Lucknow's maximum temperature outlook for August 17. Official IMD guidance highlights isolated heavy to very heavy showers, which reduce solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and sustain high humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Recent observations show 70+ mm of rain in the area, consistent with active monsoon conditions that typically suppress highs below the seasonal average of ~32°C. Market-implied odds clustered around 29–31°C reflect model consensus on widespread overcast skies and precipitation timing, with slight edges to 30°C versus 29°C hinging on localized variations in storm intensity and wind patterns. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,567结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers moderating Lucknow's maximum temperature outlook for August 17. Official IMD guidance highlights isolated heavy to very heavy showers, which reduce solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and sustain high humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Recent observations show 70+ mm of rain in the area, consistent with active monsoon conditions that typically suppress highs below the seasonal average of ~32°C. Market-implied odds clustered around 29–31°C reflect model consensus on widespread overcast skies and precipitation timing, with slight edges to 30°C versus 29°C hinging on localized variations in storm intensity and wind patterns. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,567结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETPersistent monsoon rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers moderating Lucknow's maximum temperature outlook for August 17. Official IMD guidance highlights isolated heavy to very heavy showers, which reduce solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and sustain high humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Recent observations show 70+ mm of rain in the area, consistent with active monsoon conditions that typically suppress highs below the seasonal average of ~32°C. Market-implied odds clustered around 29–31°C reflect model consensus on widespread overcast skies and precipitation timing, with slight edges to 30°C versus 29°C hinging on localized variations in storm intensity and wind patterns. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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