A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月18日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 50%
98-99°F 32%
92-93°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
89华氏度或以下
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
50%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
2%
108°F或更高
1%
96-97°F 50%
98-99°F 32%
92-93°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
89华氏度或以下
$20 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$10 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$39 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$10 交易量
9%
96-97°F
$152 交易量
50%
98-99°F
$132 交易量
32%
100-101°F
$156 交易量
6%
102-103°F
$10 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$15 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$10 交易量
2%
108°F或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$569结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$569结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETA strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题