Trader consensus clustering on 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 18 high reflects the narrow climatological band of the rainy season, where persistent ITCZ convection and afternoon cloud cover typically limit peaks near the 30–32°C historical average. Elevated humidity and frequent showers reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping maxima stable while model guidance shows only ±1–2°C spread from short-range runs. This uncertainty, plus the binary resolution on the exact daily maximum, keeps adjacent outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh the latest observational trends and forecast timing of convective outbreaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月18日巴拿马城气温最高？
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
16%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
25°C或以下
$35 交易量
<1%
26°C
$49 交易量
<1%
27°C
$24 交易量
1%
28°C
$299 交易量
4%
29°C
$329 交易量
15%
30°C
$302 交易量
27%
31°C
$1,341 交易量
34%
32°C
$839 交易量
16%
33°C
$354 交易量
1%
34°C
$33 交易量
1%
35°C或更高
$97 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 18 high reflects the narrow climatological band of the rainy season, where persistent ITCZ convection and afternoon cloud cover typically limit peaks near the 30–32°C historical average. Elevated humidity and frequent showers reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping maxima stable while model guidance shows only ±1–2°C spread from short-range runs. This uncertainty, plus the binary resolution on the exact daily maximum, keeps adjacent outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh the latest observational trends and forecast timing of convective outbreaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$3,702结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 18 high reflects the narrow climatological band of the rainy season, where persistent ITCZ convection and afternoon cloud cover typically limit peaks near the 30–32°C historical average. Elevated humidity and frequent showers reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping maxima stable while model guidance shows only ±1–2°C spread from short-range runs. This uncertainty, plus the binary resolution on the exact daily maximum, keeps adjacent outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh the latest observational trends and forecast timing of convective outbreaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,702结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETTrader consensus clustering on 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 18 high reflects the narrow climatological band of the rainy season, where persistent ITCZ convection and afternoon cloud cover typically limit peaks near the 30–32°C historical average. Elevated humidity and frequent showers reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping maxima stable while model guidance shows only ±1–2°C spread from short-range runs. This uncertainty, plus the binary resolution on the exact daily maximum, keeps adjacent outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh the latest observational trends and forecast timing of convective outbreaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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