Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil are supporting clear skies and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating for São Paulo on August 18, pushing market-implied odds toward a peak near 30–32°C. Official forecasts from INMET and international models converge on highs of 30–31°C under mostly sunny winter conditions, well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal activity through the period, limiting cooling and reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments could refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月18日圣保罗的最高温度？
31°C 48%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
48%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 48%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
24°C or below
$40 交易量
<1%
25°C
$40 交易量
<1%
26°C
$107 交易量
<1%
27°C
$157 交易量
1%
28°C
$192 交易量
4%
29°C
$480 交易量
9%
30°C
$1,543 交易量
26%
31°C
$1,012 交易量
48%
32°C
$289 交易量
16%
33°C
$226 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$204 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil are supporting clear skies and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating for São Paulo on August 18, pushing market-implied odds toward a peak near 30–32°C. Official forecasts from INMET and international models converge on highs of 30–31°C under mostly sunny winter conditions, well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal activity through the period, limiting cooling and reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$4,291结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil are supporting clear skies and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating for São Paulo on August 18, pushing market-implied odds toward a peak near 30–32°C. Official forecasts from INMET and international models converge on highs of 30–31°C under mostly sunny winter conditions, well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal activity through the period, limiting cooling and reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,291结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETStable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil are supporting clear skies and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating for São Paulo on August 18, pushing market-implied odds toward a peak near 30–32°C. Official forecasts from INMET and international models converge on highs of 30–31°C under mostly sunny winter conditions, well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover or frontal activity through the period, limiting cooling and reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments could refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题