Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日莫斯科最高气温？
8月20日莫斯科最高气温？
21°C 33%
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
12%
19°C
23%
20°C
28%
21°C
33%
22°C
12%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 33%
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
$10 交易量
2%
17°C
$92 交易量
11%
18°C
$104 交易量
12%
19°C
$10 交易量
23%
20°C
$5 交易量
28%
21°C
$0 交易量
33%
22°C
$25 交易量
12%
23°C
$0 交易量
11%
24°C
$10 交易量
7%
25°C
$5 交易量
7%
26°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$267结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$267结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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