Recent model runs and climatological data position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Panama City’s August 19 high, consistent with the tropical wet-season baseline where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. Persistent high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone create modest day-to-day variability, keeping extreme outliers below 10% implied probability. With resolution hinging on official station observations near Tocumen International Airport, traders weigh the latest short-range guidance showing limited intensification potential against the narrow historical range of 29–33°C. Updated forecast packages expected later today will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日巴拿马城气温最高?
32°C 45%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
45%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
45%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs and climatological data position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Panama City’s August 19 high, consistent with the tropical wet-season baseline where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. Persistent high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone create modest day-to-day variability, keeping extreme outliers below 10% implied probability. With resolution hinging on official station observations near Tocumen International Airport, traders weigh the latest short-range guidance showing limited intensification potential against the narrow historical range of 29–33°C. Updated forecast packages expected later today will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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