Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日旧金山气温最高？
8月19日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 28%
74-75华氏度 15%
68-69°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
65华氏度或以下
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
28%
74-75华氏度
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 28%
74-75华氏度 15%
68-69°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
65华氏度或以下
$191 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$339 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$181 交易量
14%
70-71°F
$149 交易量
32%
72-73°F
$235 交易量
28%
74-75华氏度
$321 交易量
15%
76-77°F
$205 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$316 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$132 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$20 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,113结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,113结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETTrader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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