Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on August 20, driven by a cooling trend with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and lighter winds moderating the urban heat island effect. Historical August averages hover near 14–15°C lows, while current model consensus from nearby dates shows minima of 14–16°C amid transitioning high-pressure patterns that limit extreme drops. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C reflects uncertainty in short-term model runs and potential for slight warming from residual warmth or cloud cover, with upcoming Met Office updates and NWP ensemble data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日伦敦最低气温?
15°C 44%
16°C 32%
14°C 19%
13°C 6%
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
19%
15°C
44%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 32%
14°C 19%
13°C 6%
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
19%
15°C
44%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on August 20, driven by a cooling trend with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and lighter winds moderating the urban heat island effect. Historical August averages hover near 14–15°C lows, while current model consensus from nearby dates shows minima of 14–16°C amid transitioning high-pressure patterns that limit extreme drops. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C reflects uncertainty in short-term model runs and potential for slight warming from residual warmth or cloud cover, with upcoming Met Office updates and NWP ensemble data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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