Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
27°C 17%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
24°C or below
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
17%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
16%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
27°C 17%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
24°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
25°C
$6 交易量
5%
26°C
$50 交易量
16%
27°C
$40 交易量
17%
28°C
$38 交易量
26%
29°C
$103 交易量
26%
30°C
$125 交易量
16%
31°C
$5 交易量
7%
32°C
$17 交易量
2%
33°C
$5 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$400结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$400结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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