Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble models show Busan under mostly cloudy skies on August 21 with afternoon showers possible, which limits daytime solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 29–32°C. High humidity from the North Pacific High and residual monsoon moisture further moderates peaks by enhancing cloud persistence and evaporative cooling during any breaks. Historical August baselines of 29–31°C highs provide context, yet small variations in shower timing or cloud thickness create the narrow uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds favoring 32°C (44%) and 33°C (31.5%). Updated KMA briefings and model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日釜山气温最高？
8月21日釜山气温最高？
32°C 44%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
44%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
26°C or below
$255 交易量
<1%
27°C
$370 交易量
<1%
28°C
$367 交易量
<1%
29°C
$969 交易量
2%
30°C
$321 交易量
4%
31°C
$1,171 交易量
21%
32°C
$1,074 交易量
44%
33°C
$1,120 交易量
32%
34°C
$513 交易量
3%
35°C
$250 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$330 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble models show Busan under mostly cloudy skies on August 21 with afternoon showers possible, which limits daytime solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 29–32°C. High humidity from the North Pacific High and residual monsoon moisture further moderates peaks by enhancing cloud persistence and evaporative cooling during any breaks. Historical August baselines of 29–31°C highs provide context, yet small variations in shower timing or cloud thickness create the narrow uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds favoring 32°C (44%) and 33°C (31.5%). Updated KMA briefings and model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,740结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble models show Busan under mostly cloudy skies on August 21 with afternoon showers possible, which limits daytime solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 29–32°C. High humidity from the North Pacific High and residual monsoon moisture further moderates peaks by enhancing cloud persistence and evaporative cooling during any breaks. Historical August baselines of 29–31°C highs provide context, yet small variations in shower timing or cloud thickness create the narrow uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds favoring 32°C (44%) and 33°C (31.5%). Updated KMA briefings and model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,740结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent KMA forecasts and ensemble models show Busan under mostly cloudy skies on August 21 with afternoon showers possible, which limits daytime solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 29–32°C. High humidity from the North Pacific High and residual monsoon moisture further moderates peaks by enhancing cloud persistence and evaporative cooling during any breaks. Historical August baselines of 29–31°C highs provide context, yet small variations in shower timing or cloud thickness create the narrow uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds favoring 32°C (44%) and 33°C (31.5%). Updated KMA briefings and model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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