Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from global forecasting systems, supports a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22 under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, following overnight lows near 14°C and scattered showers. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (45%) and 23°C (24%), as partial cloudiness and modest moisture limit strong insolation while preventing significant cooling. Historical August climatology in the region shows typical highs near 22°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slight model spread on peak timing and localized heating against the low likelihood of extremes above 24°C or below 21°C given current synoptic conditions. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日莫斯科最高气温？
8月22日莫斯科最高气温？
22°C 45%
23°C 24%
21°C 23%
20°C 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
23%
22°C
45%
23°C
24%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 24%
21°C 23%
20°C 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
17°C or below
$184 交易量
<1%
18°C
$175 交易量
<1%
19°C
$172 交易量
<1%
20°C
$375 交易量
7%
21°C
$501 交易量
23%
22°C
$355 交易量
45%
23°C
$556 交易量
24%
24°C
$556 交易量
5%
25°C
$302 交易量
3%
26°C
$121 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$175 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from global forecasting systems, supports a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22 under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, following overnight lows near 14°C and scattered showers. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (45%) and 23°C (24%), as partial cloudiness and modest moisture limit strong insolation while preventing significant cooling. Historical August climatology in the region shows typical highs near 22°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slight model spread on peak timing and localized heating against the low likelihood of extremes above 24°C or below 21°C given current synoptic conditions. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,471结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from global forecasting systems, supports a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22 under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, following overnight lows near 14°C and scattered showers. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (45%) and 23°C (24%), as partial cloudiness and modest moisture limit strong insolation while preventing significant cooling. Historical August climatology in the region shows typical highs near 22°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slight model spread on peak timing and localized heating against the low likelihood of extremes above 24°C or below 21°C given current synoptic conditions. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,471结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from global forecasting systems, supports a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22 under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, following overnight lows near 14°C and scattered showers. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (45%) and 23°C (24%), as partial cloudiness and modest moisture limit strong insolation while preventing significant cooling. Historical August climatology in the region shows typical highs near 22°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slight model spread on peak timing and localized heating against the low likelihood of extremes above 24°C or below 21°C given current synoptic conditions. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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