Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago on August 22 center on a high near 80°F, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate southwesterly flow and Lake Michigan's cooling influence limiting afternoon peaks. This aligns with climatological normals of 82°F for the date while recent model runs show slight downward revisions due to increased cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest. Trader consensus favoring the 80-81°F bin (51.5%) reflects these stable conditions and limited day-to-day variability, though a faster-moving cool air mass could shift outcomes toward 78-79°F. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月22日的最高温度?
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 15%
76-77°F 7%
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 15%
76-77°F 7%
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88°F或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago on August 22 center on a high near 80°F, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate southwesterly flow and Lake Michigan's cooling influence limiting afternoon peaks. This aligns with climatological normals of 82°F for the date while recent model runs show slight downward revisions due to increased cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest. Trader consensus favoring the 80-81°F bin (51.5%) reflects these stable conditions and limited day-to-day variability, though a faster-moving cool air mass could shift outcomes toward 78-79°F. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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