Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to a daily maximum in Milan on August 21 near 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could suppress peak readings. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24°C because short-range guidance has trended cooler than earlier seasonal averages of 28–30°C, reflecting the influence of a passing Atlantic trough and enhanced instability. Key uncertainties include exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any NHC-equivalent regional guidance released in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日米兰的最高温度？
8月21日米兰的最高温度？
23°C 39%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
39%
24°C
30%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 39%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
$504 交易量
<1%
17°C
$504 交易量
<1%
18°C
$704 交易量
<1%
19°C
$107 交易量
1%
20°C
$34 交易量
1%
21°C
$56 交易量
5%
22°C
$106 交易量
15%
23°C
$101 交易量
39%
24°C
$73 交易量
30%
25°C
$7 交易量
10%
26°C or higher
$254 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to a daily maximum in Milan on August 21 near 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could suppress peak readings. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24°C because short-range guidance has trended cooler than earlier seasonal averages of 28–30°C, reflecting the influence of a passing Atlantic trough and enhanced instability. Key uncertainties include exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any NHC-equivalent regional guidance released in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,449结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to a daily maximum in Milan on August 21 near 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could suppress peak readings. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24°C because short-range guidance has trended cooler than earlier seasonal averages of 28–30°C, reflecting the influence of a passing Atlantic trough and enhanced instability. Key uncertainties include exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any NHC-equivalent regional guidance released in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,449结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to a daily maximum in Milan on August 21 near 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could suppress peak readings. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24°C because short-range guidance has trended cooler than earlier seasonal averages of 28–30°C, reflecting the influence of a passing Atlantic trough and enhanced instability. Key uncertainties include exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any NHC-equivalent regional guidance released in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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