Recent forecast model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable ensemble spread for Munich’s peak temperature on August 21, driving closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 20–22°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that modulates surface insolation, boundary-layer moisture affecting daytime heat retention, and steering winds tied to a potential weak frontal passage that could either suppress or enhance maximum readings depending on timing. Late-summer climatology supports typical highs near 23°C, yet current conditions introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will further refine these inputs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月21日慕尼黑的最高温度？
22°C 27%
21°C 23%
23°C 19%
20°C 18%
最新
$15,160 交易量
最新
$15,160 交易量
2026-08-21
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
23%
22°C
27%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
8%
22°C 27%
21°C 23%
23°C 19%
20°C 18%
最新
$15,160 交易量
最新
$15,160 交易量
2026-08-21
14°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
15°C
$439 交易量
<1%
16°C
$524 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,873 交易量
<1%
18°C
$229 交易量
2%
19°C
$1,128 交易量
7%
20°C
$3,739 交易量
18%
21°C
$2,350 交易量
23%
22°C
$713 交易量
27%
23°C
$1,508 交易量
19%
24°C or higher
$1,224 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable ensemble spread for Munich’s peak temperature on August 21, driving closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 20–22°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that modulates surface insolation, boundary-layer moisture affecting daytime heat retention, and steering winds tied to a potential weak frontal passage that could either suppress or enhance maximum readings depending on timing. Late-summer climatology supports typical highs near 23°C, yet current conditions introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will further refine these inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,160结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable ensemble spread for Munich’s peak temperature on August 21, driving closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 20–22°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that modulates surface insolation, boundary-layer moisture affecting daytime heat retention, and steering winds tied to a potential weak frontal passage that could either suppress or enhance maximum readings depending on timing. Late-summer climatology supports typical highs near 23°C, yet current conditions introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will further refine these inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,160结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable ensemble spread for Munich’s peak temperature on August 21, driving closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 20–22°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that modulates surface insolation, boundary-layer moisture affecting daytime heat retention, and steering winds tied to a potential weak frontal passage that could either suppress or enhance maximum readings depending on timing. Late-summer climatology supports typical highs near 23°C, yet current conditions introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will further refine these inputs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题