Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月22日慕尼黑气温最高？
22°C 44%
23°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
44%
23°C
30%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
23°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
17°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C
$5 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
16%
22°C
$29 交易量
44%
23°C
$34 交易量
30%
24°C
$18 交易量
12%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$36 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$115 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$237结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$237结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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