**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22 centers on 22°C as the leading outcome (45.5% implied probability), followed closely by 21°C (27.5%), reflecting consensus from operational forecasts.** BBC Weather and other models indicate sunny intervals or clear conditions with light northerly winds, supporting a maximum around 22°C under stable high-pressure influence after a warmer-than-average 2026 summer. Met Office outlooks note near-average temperatures for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cooling in the short term. Ensemble consistency and minimal model spread in recent runs reinforce these moderate values, though minor forecast adjustments from new data could shift probabilities toward adjacent bins like 23°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日伦敦气温最高？
8月22日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 44%
21°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 6%
最新
$10,527 交易量
最新
$10,527 交易量
2026-08-22
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
34%
22°C
44%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 6%
最新
$10,527 交易量
最新
$10,527 交易量
2026-08-22
18°C or below
$191 交易量
1%
19°C
$181 交易量
2%
20°C
$540 交易量
6%
21°C
$1,391 交易量
34%
22°C
$993 交易量
44%
23°C
$792 交易量
17%
24°C
$552 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,096 交易量
1%
26°C
$933 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,092 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,767 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22 centers on 22°C as the leading outcome (45.5% implied probability), followed closely by 21°C (27.5%), reflecting consensus from operational forecasts.** BBC Weather and other models indicate sunny intervals or clear conditions with light northerly winds, supporting a maximum around 22°C under stable high-pressure influence after a warmer-than-average 2026 summer. Met Office outlooks note near-average temperatures for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cooling in the short term. Ensemble consistency and minimal model spread in recent runs reinforce these moderate values, though minor forecast adjustments from new data could shift probabilities toward adjacent bins like 23°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,527结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22 centers on 22°C as the leading outcome (45.5% implied probability), followed closely by 21°C (27.5%), reflecting consensus from operational forecasts.** BBC Weather and other models indicate sunny intervals or clear conditions with light northerly winds, supporting a maximum around 22°C under stable high-pressure influence after a warmer-than-average 2026 summer. Met Office outlooks note near-average temperatures for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cooling in the short term. Ensemble consistency and minimal model spread in recent runs reinforce these moderate values, though minor forecast adjustments from new data could shift probabilities toward adjacent bins like 23°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,527结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22 centers on 22°C as the leading outcome (45.5% implied probability), followed closely by 21°C (27.5%), reflecting consensus from operational forecasts.** BBC Weather and other models indicate sunny intervals or clear conditions with light northerly winds, supporting a maximum around 22°C under stable high-pressure influence after a warmer-than-average 2026 summer. Met Office outlooks note near-average temperatures for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cooling in the short term. Ensemble consistency and minimal model spread in recent runs reinforce these moderate values, though minor forecast adjustments from new data could shift probabilities toward adjacent bins like 23°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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