**Stable high-pressure systems and a cool westerly flow are capping daytime warming in Buenos Aires ahead of August 22, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources like YR and WeatherBug project a maximum of 12–13°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for late winter where average highs range 11–15°C. Model consensus shows limited insolation and moderate winds preventing stronger heating, with overnight lows near 4–5°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 14°C and 22.5% for 13°C, incorporates minor forecast spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while lower probabilities for 15°C+ or sub-12°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
14°C 53%
13°C 22%
15°C 20%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
22%
14°C
53%
15°C
20%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 53%
13°C 22%
15°C 20%
12°C 4%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
22%
14°C
53%
15°C
20%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Stable high-pressure systems and a cool westerly flow are capping daytime warming in Buenos Aires ahead of August 22, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources like YR and WeatherBug project a maximum of 12–13°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for late winter where average highs range 11–15°C. Model consensus shows limited insolation and moderate winds preventing stronger heating, with overnight lows near 4–5°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 14°C and 22.5% for 13°C, incorporates minor forecast spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while lower probabilities for 15°C+ or sub-12°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题