Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on August 23 indicate a maximum near 18–19°C, driven by high-pressure ridging and southerly flow that favors partly cloudy to clear conditions with limited warming. Recent model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud timing, keeping 18°C and 19°C outcomes closely matched in trader consensus. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, and no significant frontal systems are expected in the short term. Updated SAWS guidance and next ECMWF/GFS cycles will likely refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日开普敦气温最高?
18°C 45%
19°C 40%
20°C 39%
17°C 12%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
40%
20°C
27%
21°C
10%
22°C
7%
23°C或更高
10%
18°C 45%
19°C 40%
20°C 39%
17°C 12%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
40%
20°C
27%
21°C
10%
22°C
7%
23°C或更高
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on August 23 indicate a maximum near 18–19°C, driven by high-pressure ridging and southerly flow that favors partly cloudy to clear conditions with limited warming. Recent model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud timing, keeping 18°C and 19°C outcomes closely matched in trader consensus. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, and no significant frontal systems are expected in the short term. Updated SAWS guidance and next ECMWF/GFS cycles will likely refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题