Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月23日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
20°C 52%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
52%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
1%
20°C 52%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
16°C
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$50 交易量
6%
18°C
$30 交易量
12%
19°C
$39 交易量
25%
20°C
$71 交易量
52%
21°C
$0 交易量
20%
22°C
$0 交易量
5%
23°C
$8 交易量
2%
24°C
$20 交易量
1%
25°C或更高
$20 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$238结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$238结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Mid-to-late August climatology in the region typically features daytime highs of 19–22°C amid moderating Atlantic influences and light winds, with current model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting this range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus between 19–21°C outcomes while discounting higher thresholds, as no anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest guidance. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题