Recent ensemble guidance from major models highlights partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers over Wuhan on August 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical summer monsoon moisture and high humidity create a narrow range of outcomes, where variable afternoon cloud cover or convective timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 33–35 °C, providing context for limited probability assigned to extremes above 36 °C or below 33 °C. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will further refine boundary-layer heating and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日武汉气温最高？
8月23日武汉气温最高？
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
33°C 16%
36°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
16%
34°C
30%
35°C
34%
36°C
16%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
33°C 16%
36°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
28°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$20 交易量
5%
32°C
$0 交易量
10%
33°C
$0 交易量
16%
34°C
$0 交易量
30%
35°C
$27 交易量
34%
36°C
$2 交易量
16%
37°C
$18 交易量
8%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from major models highlights partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers over Wuhan on August 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical summer monsoon moisture and high humidity create a narrow range of outcomes, where variable afternoon cloud cover or convective timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 33–35 °C, providing context for limited probability assigned to extremes above 36 °C or below 33 °C. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will further refine boundary-layer heating and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$67结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from major models highlights partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers over Wuhan on August 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical summer monsoon moisture and high humidity create a narrow range of outcomes, where variable afternoon cloud cover or convective timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 33–35 °C, providing context for limited probability assigned to extremes above 36 °C or below 33 °C. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will further refine boundary-layer heating and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble guidance from major models highlights partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers over Wuhan on August 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical summer monsoon moisture and high humidity create a narrow range of outcomes, where variable afternoon cloud cover or convective timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 33–35 °C, providing context for limited probability assigned to extremes above 36 °C or below 33 °C. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24 hours will further refine boundary-layer heating and precipitation details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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