Recent meteorological guidance from models and agencies centers the highest temperature in Wuhan on August 22 in the 34–36 °C range, with 35 °C holding the strongest market-implied probability due to consensus on peak afternoon readings. Subtropical monsoon conditions, moderate humidity levels near 70–80 percent, and scattered afternoon convective clouds or isolated showers are limiting full solar heating and introducing 1–2 °C uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. Historical August baselines average 31–35 °C at the Wuhan Tianhe station, while current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate highs near 34–35 °C under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日武汉气温最高?
35°C 42%
34°C 23%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
23%
35°C
42%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 23%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
23%
35°C
42%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological guidance from models and agencies centers the highest temperature in Wuhan on August 22 in the 34–36 °C range, with 35 °C holding the strongest market-implied probability due to consensus on peak afternoon readings. Subtropical monsoon conditions, moderate humidity levels near 70–80 percent, and scattered afternoon convective clouds or isolated showers are limiting full solar heating and introducing 1–2 °C uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. Historical August baselines average 31–35 °C at the Wuhan Tianhe station, while current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate highs near 34–35 °C under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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