Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate peak temperatures in Austin on August 22 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 100s°F under mostly sunny skies, southerly flow, and strong surface heating typical of late-summer central Texas. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover or moisture support efficient daytime warming, with historical August maxima near 101°F providing climatological context. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat-island effects could shift the daily high across adjacent forecast bins, while the low probability assigned to extremes below 98°F or above 114°F reflects the tight model consensus and limited potential for significant deviations before resolution. Updated runs from NOAA and local offices will refine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日奥斯汀的最高温度?
108-109°F 37%
106-107°F 21%
102-103°F 19%
110-111°F 15%
95°F或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
3%
100-101华氏度
8%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
21%
108-109°F
37%
110-111°F
15%
112-113°F
14%
114°F或更高
9%
108-109°F 37%
106-107°F 21%
102-103°F 19%
110-111°F 15%
95°F或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
3%
100-101华氏度
8%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
21%
108-109°F
37%
110-111°F
15%
112-113°F
14%
114°F或更高
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate peak temperatures in Austin on August 22 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 100s°F under mostly sunny skies, southerly flow, and strong surface heating typical of late-summer central Texas. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover or moisture support efficient daytime warming, with historical August maxima near 101°F providing climatological context. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or urban heat-island effects could shift the daily high across adjacent forecast bins, while the low probability assigned to extremes below 98°F or above 114°F reflects the tight model consensus and limited potential for significant deviations before resolution. Updated runs from NOAA and local offices will refine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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