Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong high-pressure ridge over central Texas on August 21, promoting clear skies, strong subsidence warming, and high solar insolation that favor afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 100s°F. Limited model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates genuine uncertainty between peak values near 102–103°F versus 104–105°F, with the latter requiring slightly drier air and reduced mixing. Historical late-August climatology for Austin shows typical maxima around 98–102°F, so current guidance reflects above-average ridging. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月21日奥斯汀的最高温度？
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
93°F或以下
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
42%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112°F或更高
<1%
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
93°F或以下
$55 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$33 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$178 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$49 交易量
2%
100-101°F
$5 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$61 交易量
49%
104-105°F
$172 交易量
42%
106-107°F
$7 交易量
8%
108-109°F
$103 交易量
3%
110-111°F
$101 交易量
1%
112°F或更高
$127 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong high-pressure ridge over central Texas on August 21, promoting clear skies, strong subsidence warming, and high solar insolation that favor afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 100s°F. Limited model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates genuine uncertainty between peak values near 102–103°F versus 104–105°F, with the latter requiring slightly drier air and reduced mixing. Historical late-August climatology for Austin shows typical maxima around 98–102°F, so current guidance reflects above-average ridging. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$890结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong high-pressure ridge over central Texas on August 21, promoting clear skies, strong subsidence warming, and high solar insolation that favor afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 100s°F. Limited model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates genuine uncertainty between peak values near 102–103°F versus 104–105°F, with the latter requiring slightly drier air and reduced mixing. Historical late-August climatology for Austin shows typical maxima around 98–102°F, so current guidance reflects above-average ridging. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$890结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong high-pressure ridge over central Texas on August 21, promoting clear skies, strong subsidence warming, and high solar insolation that favor afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 100s°F. Limited model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates genuine uncertainty between peak values near 102–103°F versus 104–105°F, with the latter requiring slightly drier air and reduced mixing. Historical late-August climatology for Austin shows typical maxima around 98–102°F, so current guidance reflects above-average ridging. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题