Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 19°C in Amsterdam on August 22 under northwesterly flow with thundery showers and moderate cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August seasonal cooling, with average highs declining from mid-month peaks near 22°C, combines with these conditions to suppress daytime maxima relative to earlier summer norms. Ensemble models show limited warming potential ahead of the weekend, though minor shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow 20°C readings. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds for this temperature threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 22%
17°C 9%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
23%
19°C
45%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 22%
17°C 9%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
23%
19°C
45%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 19°C in Amsterdam on August 22 under northwesterly flow with thundery showers and moderate cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August seasonal cooling, with average highs declining from mid-month peaks near 22°C, combines with these conditions to suppress daytime maxima relative to earlier summer norms. Ensemble models show limited warming potential ahead of the weekend, though minor shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow 20°C readings. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds for this temperature threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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