Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 26°C in Munich on August 20, 2026, under generally stable high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 36% implied probability for 26°C, followed by 27°C and 25°C, reflecting typical late-August variability and minor model spread in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs. Recent cooling after July heat episodes has kept extremes unlikely, though subtle warm-air advection could support a 27°C outcome; traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast window and official verification criteria heavily as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日慕尼黑气温最高?
26°C 37%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
24°C 6.8%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C
37%
27°C
25%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 37%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
24°C 6.8%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C
37%
27°C
25%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 26°C in Munich on August 20, 2026, under generally stable high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 36% implied probability for 26°C, followed by 27°C and 25°C, reflecting typical late-August variability and minor model spread in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs. Recent cooling after July heat episodes has kept extremes unlikely, though subtle warm-air advection could support a 27°C outcome; traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast window and official verification criteria heavily as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题