Recent forecast model runs for Beijing indicate a closely contested maximum temperature between 32°C and 33°C on August 22, driven by uncertain timing of cloud cover and potential thundery showers that could limit peak solar heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather currently points to highs near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, while ensemble outputs show modest spread due to variable moisture and convective activity typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Historical August baselines average around 30–31°C, but localized urban heat effects and humidity levels above 70% add variability to observed maxima. Updated short-range model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日北京气温最高?
32°C 32%
33°C 31%
30°C 14%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
17%
32°C
32%
33°C
31%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 31%
30°C 14%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
17%
32°C
32%
33°C
31%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs for Beijing indicate a closely contested maximum temperature between 32°C and 33°C on August 22, driven by uncertain timing of cloud cover and potential thundery showers that could limit peak solar heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather currently points to highs near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, while ensemble outputs show modest spread due to variable moisture and convective activity typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Historical August baselines average around 30–31°C, but localized urban heat effects and humidity levels above 70% add variability to observed maxima. Updated short-range model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题