Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日东京气温最高？
8月21日东京气温最高？
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
29%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
$2,145 交易量
<1%
26°C
$260 交易量
<1%
27°C
$138 交易量
2%
28°C
$28 交易量
4%
29°C
$68 交易量
9%
30°C
$94 交易量
29%
31°C
$187 交易量
36%
32°C
$29 交易量
19%
33°C
$27 交易量
6%
34°C
$121 交易量
3%
35°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,102结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,102结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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