Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 19, driven by persistent southerly airflow and mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. This aligns with near-average winter readings for the region, following a recent transition from cooler polar outbreaks to milder patterns tracked by NIWA. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable high pressure to the east, reducing upside potential above 12°C or downside below 10°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 11°C reflect this tight forecast envelope and historical August daily maxima near 12°C, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
11°C 64%
10°C 23%
12°C 14%
9°C 2%
最新
$10,478 交易量
最新
$10,478 交易量
2026-08-19
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
23%
11°C
64%
12°C
14%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 64%
10°C 23%
12°C 14%
9°C 2%
最新
$10,478 交易量
最新
$10,478 交易量
2026-08-19
5°C or below
$201 交易量
<1%
6°C
$186 交易量
<1%
7°C
$296 交易量
<1%
8°C
$167 交易量
<1%
9°C
$836 交易量
2%
10°C
$2,563 交易量
23%
11°C
$2,598 交易量
64%
12°C
$2,179 交易量
14%
13°C
$923 交易量
2%
14°C
$167 交易量
<1%
15°C or higher
$362 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 19, driven by persistent southerly airflow and mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. This aligns with near-average winter readings for the region, following a recent transition from cooler polar outbreaks to milder patterns tracked by NIWA. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable high pressure to the east, reducing upside potential above 12°C or downside below 10°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 11°C reflect this tight forecast envelope and historical August daily maxima near 12°C, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,478结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 19, driven by persistent southerly airflow and mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. This aligns with near-average winter readings for the region, following a recent transition from cooler polar outbreaks to milder patterns tracked by NIWA. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable high pressure to the east, reducing upside potential above 12°C or downside below 10°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 11°C reflect this tight forecast envelope and historical August daily maxima near 12°C, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,478结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 19, driven by persistent southerly airflow and mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. This aligns with near-average winter readings for the region, following a recent transition from cooler polar outbreaks to milder patterns tracked by NIWA. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable high pressure to the east, reducing upside potential above 12°C or downside below 10°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 11°C reflect this tight forecast envelope and historical August daily maxima near 12°C, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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