Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 21 align closely with near-average winter conditions, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing southwesterly flows and scattered cloud. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño patterns, while specific model guidance from Met Office and timeanddate.com projects highs of 13–14°C with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August maxima average 12–13°C, providing climatological context that reinforces the current consensus. Short-range model runs show limited variability, with any late intensification of high pressure or clearer skies offering the main pathway to the lower-probability 15°C outcome. Updated official guidance from MetService or NIWA remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 57%
13°C 33%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
33%
14°C
57%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
13°C 33%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
8°C or below
$261 交易量
<1%
9°C
$359 交易量
<1%
10°C
$361 交易量
1%
11°C
$76 交易量
1%
12°C
$286 交易量
3%
13°C
$252 交易量
33%
14°C
$484 交易量
57%
15°C
$260 交易量
9%
16°C
$57 交易量
1%
17°C
$226 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$186 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 21 align closely with near-average winter conditions, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing southwesterly flows and scattered cloud. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño patterns, while specific model guidance from Met Office and timeanddate.com projects highs of 13–14°C with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August maxima average 12–13°C, providing climatological context that reinforces the current consensus. Short-range model runs show limited variability, with any late intensification of high pressure or clearer skies offering the main pathway to the lower-probability 15°C outcome. Updated official guidance from MetService or NIWA remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,756结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 21 align closely with near-average winter conditions, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing southwesterly flows and scattered cloud. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño patterns, while specific model guidance from Met Office and timeanddate.com projects highs of 13–14°C with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August maxima average 12–13°C, providing climatological context that reinforces the current consensus. Short-range model runs show limited variability, with any late intensification of high pressure or clearer skies offering the main pathway to the lower-probability 15°C outcome. Updated official guidance from MetService or NIWA remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,756结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts for Wellington on August 21 align closely with near-average winter conditions, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing southwesterly flows and scattered cloud. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño patterns, while specific model guidance from Met Office and timeanddate.com projects highs of 13–14°C with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August maxima average 12–13°C, providing climatological context that reinforces the current consensus. Short-range model runs show limited variability, with any late intensification of high pressure or clearer skies offering the main pathway to the lower-probability 15°C outcome. Updated official guidance from MetService or NIWA remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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