Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on August 21, with a minimum near 12°C, amid variable cloud, sunny intervals, and a chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This aligns with trader emphasis on 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as ensemble models show modest uncertainty around the peak amid post-heatwave cooling and Atlantic influences. Typical late-August climatology features highs near 22°C, while current conditions reflect fresher northerly flow suppressing extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or rainfall deviates from guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日伦敦气温最高?
21°C 37%
22°C 24%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
37%
22°C
24%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 24%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
37%
22°C
24%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on August 21, with a minimum near 12°C, amid variable cloud, sunny intervals, and a chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This aligns with trader emphasis on 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as ensemble models show modest uncertainty around the peak amid post-heatwave cooling and Atlantic influences. Typical late-August climatology features highs near 22°C, while current conditions reflect fresher northerly flow suppressing extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or rainfall deviates from guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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