Latest meteorological guidance from INMET and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicates a cooling trend for São Paulo on August 22, driven by increased Atlantic moisture, partial cloud cover, and a weak frontal boundary that limits daytime heating compared to the warmer subtropical high-pressure regime of recent days. These conditions typically cap maximum temperatures near 21–23 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 23–25 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly below-average values given the expected reduction in insolation and light easterly flow. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any late-day clearing or showers, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C; updated runs overnight will refine this narrow range ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月22日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C 34%
23°C 26%
21°C 17%
24°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
17%
22°C
34%
23°C
26%
24°C
15%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 34%
23°C 26%
21°C 17%
24°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
18°C or below
$47 交易量
1%
19°C
$20 交易量
3%
20°C
$39 交易量
5%
21°C
$355 交易量
17%
22°C
$434 交易量
34%
23°C
$220 交易量
26%
24°C
$195 交易量
15%
25°C
$48 交易量
2%
26°C
$85 交易量
1%
27°C
$369 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$389 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from INMET and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicates a cooling trend for São Paulo on August 22, driven by increased Atlantic moisture, partial cloud cover, and a weak frontal boundary that limits daytime heating compared to the warmer subtropical high-pressure regime of recent days. These conditions typically cap maximum temperatures near 21–23 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 23–25 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly below-average values given the expected reduction in insolation and light easterly flow. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any late-day clearing or showers, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C; updated runs overnight will refine this narrow range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$2,197结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from INMET and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicates a cooling trend for São Paulo on August 22, driven by increased Atlantic moisture, partial cloud cover, and a weak frontal boundary that limits daytime heating compared to the warmer subtropical high-pressure regime of recent days. These conditions typically cap maximum temperatures near 21–23 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 23–25 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly below-average values given the expected reduction in insolation and light easterly flow. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any late-day clearing or showers, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C; updated runs overnight will refine this narrow range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,197结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ETLatest meteorological guidance from INMET and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicates a cooling trend for São Paulo on August 22, driven by increased Atlantic moisture, partial cloud cover, and a weak frontal boundary that limits daytime heating compared to the warmer subtropical high-pressure regime of recent days. These conditions typically cap maximum temperatures near 21–23 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 23–25 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly below-average values given the expected reduction in insolation and light easterly flow. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any late-day clearing or showers, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C; updated runs overnight will refine this narrow range ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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