Current forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Moscow on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s 50% implied probability for 23°C and 25.5% for 22°C. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 22–24°C, and recent model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that curbs stronger insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings, while any shift in cloud cover or advection could tilt odds between the narrow 22–24°C cluster that dominates trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日莫斯科最高气温？
8月23日莫斯科最高气温？
23°C 51%
22°C 26%
24°C 15%
27°C or higher 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
51%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 51%
22°C 26%
24°C 15%
27°C or higher 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
17°C or below
$10 交易量
2%
18°C
$25 交易量
5%
19°C
$10 交易量
2%
20°C
$332 交易量
5%
21°C
$53 交易量
4%
22°C
$69 交易量
26%
23°C
$69 交易量
51%
24°C
$97 交易量
16%
25°C
$33 交易量
5%
26°C
$36 交易量
3%
27°C or higher
$30 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Moscow on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s 50% implied probability for 23°C and 25.5% for 22°C. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 22–24°C, and recent model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that curbs stronger insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings, while any shift in cloud cover or advection could tilt odds between the narrow 22–24°C cluster that dominates trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$763结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Moscow on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s 50% implied probability for 23°C and 25.5% for 22°C. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 22–24°C, and recent model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that curbs stronger insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings, while any shift in cloud cover or advection could tilt odds between the narrow 22–24°C cluster that dominates trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$763结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Moscow on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s 50% implied probability for 23°C and 25.5% for 22°C. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 22–24°C, and recent model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that curbs stronger insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings, while any shift in cloud cover or advection could tilt odds between the narrow 22–24°C cluster that dominates trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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