Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the 11–16°C range, driven by a transitional late-summer air mass with moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology places average August lows near 13–14°C, while current runs show modest spread from potential weak frontal passages that could push readings below 10°C or keep them above 20°C under clearer, warmer conditions. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against baseline variability, with resolution hinging on official Moscow station observations at midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日莫斯科最低气温?
20°C or higher 89%
10°C or below 42%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
10°C or below
42%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
89%
20°C or higher 89%
10°C or below 42%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
10°C or below
42%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the 11–16°C range, driven by a transitional late-summer air mass with moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology places average August lows near 13–14°C, while current runs show modest spread from potential weak frontal passages that could push readings below 10°C or keep them above 20°C under clearer, warmer conditions. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against baseline variability, with resolution hinging on official Moscow station observations at midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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