Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a maximum of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these as the market leaders at 51.5% and 36% implied probability. Persistent warmth from an anomalously warm Mediterranean Sea and residual effects of earlier summer heat domes continue to support above-normal temperatures across central Spain, though Atlantic air advection may moderate peaks slightly from mid-August levels. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with day-to-day variability driven by high-pressure stability and limited cloud cover; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日马德里气温最高？
8月23日马德里气温最高？
33°C 52%
34°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
52%
34°C
37%
35°C
9%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 52%
34°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
29°C or below
$17 交易量
1%
30°C
$17 交易量
1%
31°C
$5 交易量
5%
32°C
$44 交易量
7%
33°C
$26 交易量
52%
34°C
$65 交易量
37%
35°C
$31 交易量
9%
36°C
$9 交易量
7%
37°C
$5 交易量
5%
38°C
$20 交易量
4%
39°C or higher
$20 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a maximum of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these as the market leaders at 51.5% and 36% implied probability. Persistent warmth from an anomalously warm Mediterranean Sea and residual effects of earlier summer heat domes continue to support above-normal temperatures across central Spain, though Atlantic air advection may moderate peaks slightly from mid-August levels. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with day-to-day variability driven by high-pressure stability and limited cloud cover; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$259结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a maximum of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these as the market leaders at 51.5% and 36% implied probability. Persistent warmth from an anomalously warm Mediterranean Sea and residual effects of earlier summer heat domes continue to support above-normal temperatures across central Spain, though Atlantic air advection may moderate peaks slightly from mid-August levels. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with day-to-day variability driven by high-pressure stability and limited cloud cover; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$259结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a maximum of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these as the market leaders at 51.5% and 36% implied probability. Persistent warmth from an anomalously warm Mediterranean Sea and residual effects of earlier summer heat domes continue to support above-normal temperatures across central Spain, though Atlantic air advection may moderate peaks slightly from mid-August levels. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with day-to-day variability driven by high-pressure stability and limited cloud cover; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题