Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 20s°C, with trader-implied odds clustered near 27–29°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise maximum. Primary drivers include the strength and position of a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for solar heating, tempered by northeasterly flow that may introduce slightly cooler, drier air. Differentiating factors among the leading brackets center on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification under light winds; even modest increases in daytime insolation or reduced advection could push readings toward 29°C or higher. Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 17 has kept probabilities balanced, as updated model runs and observational data continue to refine the thermal profile ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日米兰的最高温度？
8月23日米兰的最高温度？
28°C 31%
29°C or higher 31%
27°C 28%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
28%
28°C
31%
29°C or higher
31%
28°C 31%
29°C or higher 31%
27°C 28%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
$39 交易量
<1%
20°C
$115 交易量
<1%
21°C
$135 交易量
<1%
22°C
$120 交易量
1%
23°C
$40 交易量
1%
24°C
$219 交易量
1%
25°C
$55 交易量
2%
26°C
$310 交易量
9%
27°C
$573 交易量
28%
28°C
$295 交易量
31%
29°C or higher
$272 交易量
31%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 20s°C, with trader-implied odds clustered near 27–29°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise maximum. Primary drivers include the strength and position of a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for solar heating, tempered by northeasterly flow that may introduce slightly cooler, drier air. Differentiating factors among the leading brackets center on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification under light winds; even modest increases in daytime insolation or reduced advection could push readings toward 29°C or higher. Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 17 has kept probabilities balanced, as updated model runs and observational data continue to refine the thermal profile ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,173结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 20s°C, with trader-implied odds clustered near 27–29°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise maximum. Primary drivers include the strength and position of a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for solar heating, tempered by northeasterly flow that may introduce slightly cooler, drier air. Differentiating factors among the leading brackets center on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification under light winds; even modest increases in daytime insolation or reduced advection could push readings toward 29°C or higher. Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 17 has kept probabilities balanced, as updated model runs and observational data continue to refine the thermal profile ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,173结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 20s°C, with trader-implied odds clustered near 27–29°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise maximum. Primary drivers include the strength and position of a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for solar heating, tempered by northeasterly flow that may introduce slightly cooler, drier air. Differentiating factors among the leading brackets center on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification under light winds; even modest increases in daytime insolation or reduced advection could push readings toward 29°C or higher. Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 17 has kept probabilities balanced, as updated model runs and observational data continue to refine the thermal profile ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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