Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月21日达拉斯的最高温度？
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
99°F or below
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
51%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
99°F or below
$2,107 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$257 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$291 交易量
13%
104-105°F
$278 交易量
51%
106-107°F
$182 交易量
30%
108-109°F
$48 交易量
9%
110-111°F
$23 交易量
2%
112-113°F
$100 交易量
1%
114-115°F
$237 交易量
<1%
116-117°F
$39 交易量
<1%
118°F or higher
$370 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,932结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,932结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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