Recent KMA forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 22 point to a daytime maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with 60% rain probability, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–29°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit surface heating and suppress peak readings. This reflects standard late-summer monsoon influences that increase atmospheric moisture, reduce incoming solar radiation, and favor convective activity, consistent with climatological August averages of 29–31°C that often trend lower on wet days. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest spread, with any clearing or delayed rain posing the main upside risk to 30°C or higher, while heavier or earlier showers could cap temperatures at 27–28°C. Updated short-range model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution based on Incheon station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
29°C 31%
28°C 28%
30°C 20%
27°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
28%
29°C
31%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 28%
30°C 20%
27°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
28%
29°C
31%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 22 point to a daytime maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with 60% rain probability, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–29°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit surface heating and suppress peak readings. This reflects standard late-summer monsoon influences that increase atmospheric moisture, reduce incoming solar radiation, and favor convective activity, consistent with climatological August averages of 29–31°C that often trend lower on wet days. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest spread, with any clearing or delayed rain posing the main upside risk to 30°C or higher, while heavier or earlier showers could cap temperatures at 27–28°C. Updated short-range model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution based on Incheon station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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