Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan for the night of August 22–23, supporting moderate radiative cooling and overnight lows in the 17–19°C range. Recent thunderstorms on August 21 have given way to drier air and building high pressure, reducing cloud cover that previously limited temperature drops. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed, which explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–19°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日米兰最低气温?
17°C 27%
16°C 20%
20°C 20%
18°C 19%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
1%
17°C 27%
16°C 20%
20°C 20%
18°C 19%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan for the night of August 22–23, supporting moderate radiative cooling and overnight lows in the 17–19°C range. Recent thunderstorms on August 21 have given way to drier air and building high pressure, reducing cloud cover that previously limited temperature drops. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed, which explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–19°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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