Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 22, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 12°C and 13°C. An approaching Atlantic low-pressure system and variable cloud cover are moderating radiative cooling, while light winds limit mixing and keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Model runs from European and Russian agencies show slight divergence on exact timing of any clearing skies or frontal passage, which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 13°C, providing context for the tight probability spread across outcomes from 9°C to 16°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日莫斯科最低气温?
16°C or higher 80%
6°C or below 51%
13°C 42%
9°C 41%
6°C or below
51%
7°C
39%
8°C
37%
9°C
41%
10°C
29%
11°C
39%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
80%
16°C or higher 80%
6°C or below 51%
13°C 42%
9°C 41%
6°C or below
51%
7°C
39%
8°C
37%
9°C
41%
10°C
29%
11°C
39%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 22, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 12°C and 13°C. An approaching Atlantic low-pressure system and variable cloud cover are moderating radiative cooling, while light winds limit mixing and keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Model runs from European and Russian agencies show slight divergence on exact timing of any clearing skies or frontal passage, which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 13°C, providing context for the tight probability spread across outcomes from 9°C to 16°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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