Traders see roughly equal odds (34.5%) for a 2–5 °C minimum in Buenos Aires on August 21 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 4–6 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Clear skies and light winds are enabling strong radiative cooling after a daytime high near 12–14 °C, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Río de la Plata moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this cooler pattern stems from a transient high-pressure system suppressing cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s official station reading, with any late-model shift or wind change able to nudge the outcome across the closely matched thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月21日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
2°C 35%
3°C 35%
4°C 35%
5°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
-1°C or below
2%
0°C
33%
1°C
25%
2°C
35%
3°C
35%
4°C
35%
5°C
35%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
<1%
2°C 35%
3°C 35%
4°C 35%
5°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
-1°C or below
$36 交易量
2%
0°C
$96 交易量
33%
1°C
$67 交易量
25%
2°C
$0 交易量
35%
3°C
$0 交易量
35%
4°C
$0 交易量
35%
5°C
$0 交易量
35%
6°C
$206 交易量
<1%
7°C
$109 交易量
<1%
8°C
$128 交易量
<1%
9°C or higher
$255 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see roughly equal odds (34.5%) for a 2–5 °C minimum in Buenos Aires on August 21 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 4–6 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Clear skies and light winds are enabling strong radiative cooling after a daytime high near 12–14 °C, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Río de la Plata moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this cooler pattern stems from a transient high-pressure system suppressing cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s official station reading, with any late-model shift or wind change able to nudge the outcome across the closely matched thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$897结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see roughly equal odds (34.5%) for a 2–5 °C minimum in Buenos Aires on August 21 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 4–6 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Clear skies and light winds are enabling strong radiative cooling after a daytime high near 12–14 °C, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Río de la Plata moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this cooler pattern stems from a transient high-pressure system suppressing cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s official station reading, with any late-model shift or wind change able to nudge the outcome across the closely matched thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$897结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETTraders see roughly equal odds (34.5%) for a 2–5 °C minimum in Buenos Aires on August 21 because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster tightly around 4–6 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Clear skies and light winds are enabling strong radiative cooling after a daytime high near 12–14 °C, while the urban heat island and proximity to the Río de la Plata moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this cooler pattern stems from a transient high-pressure system suppressing cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s official station reading, with any late-model shift or wind change able to nudge the outcome across the closely matched thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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