Forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum near or just below 1°C for Buenos Aires on August 22 under clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 1°C-or-higher outcome, while minor spreads in boundary-layer moisture and high-pressure positioning sustain probabilities clustered around 0°C to -4°C. August climatology shows typical lows of 8–11°C, but recent cool southerly flows have produced sub-freezing readings closer to historical extremes near -5°C. Updated model runs and official observations the following morning will determine final resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
1°C或更高 60%
-1°C 28%
0°C 28%
-2°C 27%
-9°C或以下
1%
-8°C
1%
-7°C
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
2%
-4°C
18%
-3°C
26%
-2°C
27%
-1°C
28%
0°C
28%
1°C或更高
42%
1°C或更高 60%
-1°C 28%
0°C 28%
-2°C 27%
-9°C或以下
1%
-8°C
1%
-7°C
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
2%
-4°C
18%
-3°C
26%
-2°C
27%
-1°C
28%
0°C
28%
1°C或更高
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum near or just below 1°C for Buenos Aires on August 22 under clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 1°C-or-higher outcome, while minor spreads in boundary-layer moisture and high-pressure positioning sustain probabilities clustered around 0°C to -4°C. August climatology shows typical lows of 8–11°C, but recent cool southerly flows have produced sub-freezing readings closer to historical extremes near -5°C. Updated model runs and official observations the following morning will determine final resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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