Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug place Chengdu's August 23 minimum near 25°C amid persistent humidity, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions favor modest overnight cooling without strong radiative losses, aligning with historical August lows averaging 22–24°C. Trader emphasis on 19°C or below likely stems from recent actual minima near 23°C, model spread in precipitation timing that could enhance cooling, and the market's aggregation of uncertainty around cloud cover and frontal influences two days out. Upcoming model runs from global ensembles will refine landfall and intensity signals for resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日成都最低气温?
19°C or below 86%
29°C or higher 51%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
19°C or below
86%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
30%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
51%
19°C or below 86%
29°C or higher 51%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
19°C or below
86%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
30%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug place Chengdu's August 23 minimum near 25°C amid persistent humidity, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions favor modest overnight cooling without strong radiative losses, aligning with historical August lows averaging 22–24°C. Trader emphasis on 19°C or below likely stems from recent actual minima near 23°C, model spread in precipitation timing that could enhance cooling, and the market's aggregation of uncertainty around cloud cover and frontal influences two days out. Upcoming model runs from global ensembles will refine landfall and intensity signals for resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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