Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日成都最低气温？
8月21日成都最低气温？
24°C 97%
21°C 45%
20°C 42%
18°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
17%
18°C
34%
19°C
2%
20°C
42%
21°C
45%
22°C
2%
23°C
28%
24°C
73%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 97%
21°C 45%
20°C 42%
18°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
$81 交易量
17%
18°C
$61 交易量
34%
19°C
$61 交易量
2%
20°C
$92 交易量
42%
21°C
$92 交易量
45%
22°C
$92 交易量
2%
23°C
$30 交易量
28%
24°C
$138 交易量
73%
25°C
$25 交易量
<1%
26°C
$95 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$862结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$862结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETTrader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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